Fair CDR
  Allocation  

Calculate CDR Requirements For 2100 Climate Variable Values


#VariableFromIncrementToRow*Column*Level*
1 Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS)
2 Temperature Increase in 2100
3 Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020 thru 2100
4 Non-CO2 Radiative Forcing in 2100
5 Cum Emissions from Feedbacks (GT CO2e) Include
6 CO2 Removal Cost (Average - $/Ton CO2) Include
7 Number of Years for CO2 Removal Include
8 ECS for Data (for ECS Realization in 2100)
*These are used to determine how the CDR data is grouped and displayed
     Calculating the amount of CO2 that will need to be removed from the atmosphere in 2100 for a specific temperature increase is fraught with uncertainty but is essential to crafting the response to global warming. A simple model, based on the data from the IPCC’s 1.5°C report, was developed to allow people to explore the CO2 removal requirement for a variety of possible values for the major climate variables – equilibrium climate sensitivity, temperature increase in 2100, cumulative emissions from 2020 through 2100, and non-CO2 radiative forcing in 2100.

Click here for a description of the model and the various climate variables.

You can run the model to estimate the CDR requirement for a variety of values for the climate variables by selecting different values in the drop-down lists to the left and clicking the "Submit" button above.
 
Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity - 3
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88190421542404265429043154340436543904
1.02.73134815981848209823482598284830983348
1.52.606699191169141916691919216924192669
2.02.501053556058551105135516051855
2.52.42155405655905
3.02.37
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88323640444853576165
1.02.73222731353943475256
1.52.60111519242832364044
2.02.5026101418232731
2.52.42371115
3.02.37
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88190215240265290315340365390
1.02.73135160185210235260285310335
1.52.606792117142167192217242267
2.02.50 11366186111136161186
2.52.42 15406590
3.02.37
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88197722272477272729773227347737273977
1.02.73143016801930218024302680293031803430
1.52.6076110111261151117612011226125112761
2.02.502094597099591209145917091959
2.52.42212715217711021
3.02.37
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88333741455054586266
1.02.73242832364045495357
1.52.60131721252934384246
2.02.5038121620242833
2.52.420591317
3.02.37
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88198223248273298323348373398
1.02.73143168193218243268293318343
1.52.6076101126151176201226251276
2.02.50 21467196121146171196
2.52.42 2275277102
3.02.37
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88204922992549279930493299354937994049
1.02.73151017602010226025102760301032603510
1.52.6085211021352160218522102235226022852
2.02.506131156181110611311156118112061
2.52.421363866368861136
3.02.3791
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88343842475155596367
1.02.73252934384246505459
1.52.60141823273135394348
2.02.50159141822263034
2.52.4226111519
3.02.372
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88205230255280305330355380405
1.02.73151176201226251276301326351
1.52.6085110135160185210235260285
2.02.506315681106131156181206
2.52.42 14396489114
3.02.37 9
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88211923692619286931193369361938694119
1.02.73158918392089233925892839308933393589
1.52.6094111911441169119412191244126912941
2.02.5016241266291211621412166219122162
2.52.4225050075010001250
3.02.37218
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88353944485256606469
1.02.73263135394347515660
1.52.60162024283237414549
2.02.503711151924283236
2.52.4248121721
3.02.374
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.52.88212237262287312337362387412
1.02.73159184209234259284309334359
1.52.6094119144169194219244269294
2.02.5016416691116141166191216
2.52.42 255075100125
3.02.37 22
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
 
Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity - 3.5
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36197122212471272129713221347137213971
1.03.19150517552005225525052755300532553505
1.53.0494511951445169519452195244526952945
2.02.92284534784103412841534178420342284
2.52.8322272522772102212721522
3.02.77172422672
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36333741455054586266
1.03.19252933384246505458
1.53.04162024283237414549
2.02.925913172126303438
2.52.8305913172125
3.02.773711
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36197222247272297322347372397
1.03.19151176201226251276301326351
1.53.0495120145170195220245270295
2.02.92285378103128153178203228
2.52.83 2275277102127152
3.02.77 174267
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36204322932543279330433293354337934043
1.03.19158418342084233425842834308433343584
1.53.04103312831533178320332283253327833033
2.02.92381631881113113811631188121312381
2.52.83130380630880113013801630
3.02.7742292542792
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36343842475155596367
1.03.19263135394347515660
1.53.04172126303438424651
2.02.9261115192327313640
2.52.83261115192327
3.02.7715913
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36204229254279304329354379404
1.03.19158183208233258283308333358
1.53.04103128153178203228253278303
2.02.92386388113138163188213238
2.52.83 13386388113138163
3.02.77 4295479
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36211423642614286431143364361438644114
1.03.19166219122162241226622912316234123662
1.53.04111913691619186921192369261928693119
2.02.92477727977122714771727197722272477
2.52.83237487737987123714871737
3.02.77160410660910
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36353944485256606469
1.03.19283236404449535761
1.53.04192327313539444852
2.02.9281216202529333741
2.52.83481216212529
3.02.77371115
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36211236261286311336361386411
1.03.19166191216241266291316341366
1.53.04112137162187212237262287312
2.02.92487398123148173198223248
2.52.83 24497499124149174
3.02.77 16416691
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36218324332683293331833433368339334183
1.03.19173919892239248927392989323934893739
1.53.04120414541704195422042454270429543204
2.02.925728221072132215721822207223222572
2.52.83923425928421092134215921842
3.02.77272775277771027
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36364145495357616670
1.03.19293337414650545862
1.53.04202428333741454953
2.02.92101418222630353943
2.52.8326101418222731
3.02.770591317
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.36218243268293318343368393418
1.03.19174199224249274299324349374
1.53.04120145170195220245270295320
2.02.925782107132157182207232257
2.52.83 9345984109134159184
3.02.77 3285378103
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 3.5; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
 
Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity - 4
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84202022702520277030203270352037704020
1.03.64162018702120237026202870312033703620
1.53.47114413941644189421442394264428943144
2.03.345888381088133815881838208823382588
2.53.232064567069561206145617061956
3.03.16725750775710071257
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84343842465055596367
1.03.64273135394448525660
1.53.47192327323640444852
2.03.34101418222631353943
2.53.2338121620242833
3.03.16048131721
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84202227252277302327352377402
1.03.64162187212237262287312337362
1.53.47114139164189214239264289314
2.03.345984109134159184209234259
2.53.23 21467196121146171196
3.03.16 1265176101126
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 4; RF: 0.3; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84209223422592284230923342359238424092
1.03.64169719472197244726972947319734473697
1.53.47122914791729197922292479272929793229
2.03.346819311181143116811931218124312681
2.53.235830855880810581308155818082058
3.03.1611936961986911191369
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84353943475256606468
1.03.64283237414549535762
1.53.47202529333741455054
2.03.34111620242832364145
2.53.23159131822263034
3.03.162610141923
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84209234259284309334359384409
1.03.64170195220245270295320345370
1.53.47123148173198223248273298323
2.03.346893118143168193218243268
2.53.236315681106131156181206
3.03.16 12376287112137
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 4; RF: 0.4; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84216224122662291231623412366239124162
1.03.64177420242274252427743024327435243774
1.53.47131215621812206223122562281230623312
2.03.3477310231273152317732023227325232773
2.53.2315940965990911591409165919092159
3.03.1622947972997912291479
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84364044495357616569
1.03.64303438424650555963
1.53.47222630343943475155
2.03.34131721253034384246
2.53.233711151923283236
3.03.164812162025
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84216241266291316341366391416
1.03.64177202227252277302327352377
1.53.47131156181206231256281306331
2.03.3477102127152177202227252277
2.53.2316416691116141166191216
3.03.16 23487398123148
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 4; RF: 0.5; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)
   
Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84223024802730298032303480373039804230
1.03.64184920992349259928493099334935993849
1.53.47139416441894214423942644289431443394
2.03.3486411141364161418642114236426142864
2.53.23258508758100812581508175820082258
3.03.1688338588838108813381588
CO2 Removal Requirement (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84374146505458626671
1.03.64313539434752566064
1.53.47232732364044485257
2.03.34141923273135394448
2.53.234813172125293338
3.03.16161014182226
CO2 Removal Requirement Per Year (GT CO2)
ECS: 4; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e); Years: 60

Temp
Inc
2100
CS
Cum CO2 Emissions from 2020
5007501000125015001750200022502500
0.53.84223248273298323348373398423
1.03.64185210235260285310335360385
1.53.47139164189214239264289314339
2.03.3486111136161186211236261286
2.53.23265176101126151176201226
3.03.16 9345984109134159
CO2 Removal Costs ($Trillion)
CDR Cost: 100; ECS: 4; RF: 0.6; Feedbacks: 500 (GT CO2e)